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America, don’t vote for Hillary!

What Trump’s critics are missing.

The sins of Donald Trump are obvious.

He seems to lack integrity, personal morality, and good character. (As Hillary noted, however, he has somehow managed to raise successful and balanced kids who have good families.)

But here’s the thing: You can be the nicest person in the world and be a rotten president. In fact, being ‘nice’ is often dangerous – you’re more likely to start wars to save the world thinking you’re doing good – thus unleashing all the demons and chaos of conflict.

Yes, Trump does seem to exclude himself from leadership by virtue of his sleaziness and basic indecency. This is not a surprise – very few casino owners are virtuous citizens.

But the problem is Hillary is likely to be worse.

America Needs An Intervention

Trump, Clinton and the End of Democracy?

The Washington Post recently released a video recording Trump saying the most disgusting things about women. I won’t repeat them here.

To be honest, despite his overtly despicable public persona, I have always been a little bit sympathetic to Trump.

His scrambling of the right wing orthodoxy in the US is something the Republicans do need in the shadow of the Bush years – particularly his vocal opposition to the foreign wars that have dominated US foreign policy since the first President Bush, right through the Clinton, second Bush, and Obama presidencies.

Our Country Is Burning – But The Fire Can Cleanse Us

A real leader would use the present crisis to save both the country and the ANC.

In the Dickens classic, ‘A Tale of Two Cities’, the protagonist ends the novel by sacrificing his life for the husband of his one true love, his rival in essence.

Before he dies, this protagonist, Sydney Carton, says the following:

“I see a beautiful city and a brilliant people rising from this abyss, and, in their struggles to be truly free, in their triumphs and defeats, through long years to come, I see the evil of this time and of the previous time of which this is the natural birth, gradually making expiation for itself and wearing out.

“I see the lives for which I lay down my life, peaceful, useful, prosperous and happy…

“It is a far, far better thing that I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better rest that I go to than I have ever known.”

The genius of the novel is that Dickens lets nobody off the hook – both the regime of pre-revolutionary France and the revolutionary leaders have blood on their hands.

But redemption comes from somebody who sees through the cycle of violence and absorbs it.

For us in post-apartheid South Africa, this redemption need not be merely poetic. It can, and must, be practical too.

Why Trump Might Win

An old Kennedy aide lays out the case for Trump.

why trump might win

I have a bit of a thing for the Kennedys. I think JFK and Bobby probably saved the world by beating back nuclear war during the Cuban Missile Crisis.

I probably know more than is strictly healthy about the JFK assassination. And I think American and global politics would have been massively better had Bobby himself not been killed in 1968, probably on his way to becoming president.

Yes, I know there was a very dark side to them too, but I still think some of the mythology was true.

Think of any modern politician today telling citizens not to ask what their country can do for them, but what they can do for their country – like JFK did in his inaugural speech.

We Didn’t Start The Fire – It Was Always Burning

As cities and universities burn in South Africa and the US, our ‘hashtag’ movements give us a glimpse of both the past and the future.

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It is an intriguing coincidence that when one watches the news these days, the images coming from the US are almost exactly the same as those coming from South Africa.

What’s more, both have a hashtag at the heart of the burning, looting, and rioting – namely #BlackLivesMatter for the US, and #FeesMustFall for South Africa.

Is it a coincidence?

I don’t think so.

I think the movements stem from the same social force, brought to life by similar social conditions.

But before we try to understand that force, it’s worth simply recounting the brief history of both movements.

Humans Will Always Be More Important Than Machines

‘People… people will never go out of business.’ – Michael Scott

we are not machines , big data, brandseye

Last week, I did a piece of analysis for social media analytics company, Brandseye. Their intelligence tool is based on big data collection – but also human insight, in the form of their signature Crowd.

Their success – in predicting Brexit, and coalition governments in the SA local elections – overturns some prevailing sentiment in the tech and business worlds – that machines are now cleverer than people, and might take over society, like something out of Terminator or The Matrix.

What their Crowd does is sort through big data, adding human insight, in the shape of an awareness of irony, narrative, and humour, to the evaluation of media information.

In my piece I just did for them, I showed how their system will always beat Watson, IBM’s super computer, in understanding political data.

Why We Never Solve the Poverty Problem

In politics, simplicity is elegance – and frustratingly rare.

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First of all, let me say that I understand poverty will always exist in some form or another because we live in an imperfect world.

One of the misplaced keys to politics is, I believe, a sense of the tragic. We need to realise that we can’t bring the kingdom of heaven to earth. There will never be a utopia (after all utopia really means ‘no place’).

With that in mind, we need to take the world as we find it, and try to ameliorate the suffering that seems to be part of the human experience. We should do this not only because it increases human happiness, but because it is how save our own souls – by treating our fellow humans as neighbours.

So what big ideas can we use to try to alleviate poverty?

I want to throw out something radically simple.

Why don’t we just give the poor money?

Steve Biko and the Human Face

What is this blog all about?

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I have been wondering how I would describe the unifying theme of my writing.

For a long time, I have considered myself a conservative. By that, I don’t mean the politics of George Bush, as some mistakenly think – but rather a politics that values tradition, the family, morality, and is sceptical as to how much a large government can achieve.

I think all politics is ultimately about an organic relationship between liberty and order, worked out in time and space by a people according to their own history and traditions.

I think when governments are too confident in their own ability to re-make society, to engineer society, disaster strikes. Think of the gulags, the social engineering of apartheid, the Terror of the French Revolution and its subsequent Napoleonic Wars.

But unfortunately, none of this amounts to a catch-phrase, a clear political style or theme.